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MLB Picks · 2026-04-01

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3W 2L 5 graded picks
Pick of the Day · 2026-04-01
Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
Line: +215 Edge: +33.6% Slight edge 5-6 L

Washington Nationals (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Philadelphia Phillies. Win probability: 65%. Line: +215. Model fair value: 65%. Edge: +33.6%. Calibrated vs 280 graded results.

PICK #2 Houston Astros Boston Red Sox @ Houston Astros
+124 +29.6% Moderate lean W

Houston Astros (home) - season-to-date numbers show a moderate lean over Boston Red Sox. Win probability: 74%. Line: +124. Model fair value: 74%. Edge: +29.6%. Calibrated vs 280 graded results.

PICK #3 Miami Marlins Chicago White Sox @ Miami Marlins
-156 +17.4% Moderate lean W

Miami Marlins (home) - season-to-date numbers show a moderate lean over Chicago White Sox. Win probability: 78%. Line: -156. Model fair value: 78%. Edge: +17.4%. Calibrated vs 280 graded results.

PICK #4 Milwaukee Brewers Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers
-142 +15.1% Moderate lean W

Milwaukee Brewers (home) - season-to-date numbers show a moderate lean over Tampa Bay Rays. Win probability: 74%. Line: -142. Model fair value: 74%. Edge: +15.1%. Calibrated vs 280 graded results.

PICK #5 Texas Rangers Texas Rangers @ Baltimore Orioles
+100 +14.4% Slight edge L

Texas Rangers (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Baltimore Orioles. Win probability: 64%. Line: +100. Model fair value: 64%. Edge: +14.4%. Calibrated vs 280 graded results.

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