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Daily Picks Free

Free MLB picks every day—each with a moneyline read and a model edge vs the board when lines are out. Bookmark this and check back after the morning run. We track every result publicly.

Yesterday's card (graded)
2–0
on 2 picks · results update once games go final
Current card 5 plays 2026-04-17
Best edge +11.2% top number on the active card
Settled record 41-55 96 graded picks
Net units -16.09u flat 1u each play · ROI -16.8%
Open picks 5 waiting on finals
Pick of the Day · 2026-04-17
San Francisco Giants @ Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
Line: +136 Edge: +11.2% Slight edge Score: 8-1 Live · Top 4th

Washington Nationals (home) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over San Francisco Giants. Win probability: 54%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Calibrated vs 67 graded results. Line +136 → edge +11.2% vs implied.

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PICK #2 San Diego Padres San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Angels
+120 +8.0% Slight edge 0-0 9:38 PM ET

San Diego Padres (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Los Angeles Angels. Win probability: 53%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Calibrated vs 67 graded results. Line +120 → edge +8.0% vs implied.

MLB & baseball on Kalshi: Open Kalshi (referral)
PICK #3 Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies
-108 +7.4% Slight edge 7-0 Live · Bot 4th

Atlanta Braves (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Philadelphia Phillies. Win probability: 59%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Calibrated vs 67 graded results. Line -108 → edge +7.4% vs implied.

MLB & baseball on Kalshi: Open Kalshi (referral)
PICK #4 Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox
+108 +5.4% Slight edge 0-0 Live · Top 4th

Detroit Tigers (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Boston Red Sox. Win probability: 53%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Calibrated vs 67 graded results. Line +108 → edge +5.4% vs implied.

MLB & baseball on Kalshi: Open Kalshi (referral)
PICK #5 Texas Rangers Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners
+116 +5.2% Slight edge 0-0 9:40 PM ET

Texas Rangers (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Seattle Mariners. Win probability: 52%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Calibrated vs 67 graded results. Line +116 → edge +5.2% vs implied.

MLB & baseball on Kalshi: Open Kalshi (referral)

Pick history

Date Slot Pick Matchup Score Line Edge Units Result
2026-04-17 PICK OF THE DAY Washington Nationals San Francisco Giants @ Washington Nationals +136 +11.2%
2026-04-17 PICK #2 San Diego Padres San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Angels +120 +8.0%
2026-04-17 PICK #3 Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies -108 +7.4%
2026-04-17 PICK #4 Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox +108 +5.4%
2026-04-17 PICK #5 Texas Rangers Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners +116 +5.2%
2026-04-16 PICK OF THE DAY San Diego Padres Seattle Mariners @ San Diego Padres 2-5 +102 +6.2% +1.02u W
2026-04-16 PICK #2 Detroit Tigers Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers 9-10 -104 +4.5% +0.96u W
2026-04-15 PICK OF THE DAY Minnesota Twins Boston Red Sox @ Minnesota Twins 9-5 +114 +11.5% -1.00u L
2026-04-15 PICK #2 Milwaukee Brewers Toronto Blue Jays @ Milwaukee Brewers 1-2 +106 +7.5% +1.06u W
2026-04-15 PICK #3 Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs @ Philadelphia Phillies 11-2 +122 +6.8% +1.22u W
2026-04-15 PICK #4 Cincinnati Reds San Francisco Giants @ Cincinnati Reds 3-8 -108 +3.2% +0.93u W
2026-04-15 PICK #5 San Diego Padres Seattle Mariners @ San Diego Padres 6-7 -112 +1.9% +0.89u W

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How this works

Every day we run the full slate the same way and post the best looks that come out of it. No "team I like tonight" stuff, no chasing yesterday, no mystery edits after the fact.

The pick

We grade teams on season-to-date form: winning, run creation, run prevention, and pitching. Early in the year that sample is small, so reads can move quickly as fresh games come in. Home field gets a small bump, then we post the higher-graded side.

Strong / Moderate / Slight

That is just a read on how wide the gap is. Strong means the matchup stands out. Slight means it is closer and probably not a spot to get carried away. It is a confidence read, not a promise.

Line & edge

The line is the moneyline we had when the card ran. The edge is the gap between our fair price and the number on the board. If you see a +4% edge, that means the book is pricing that side a little cheaper than our numbers say it should be. No line means we did not get one when the engine ran.

The record

Every pick is in the table above. Grades are straight W/L against the team we posted—no style points, no moving the line after the fact. Results update once games go final. Units are just “how many of your normal bet size”—if your unit is $25 or $50 or whatever you use, that is what we mean. We keep it flat 1u on every play (same risk each time, no weird scaling) so net units stay easy to read. Nothing gets deleted, nothing gets rewritten.

Bet responsibly. For informational use only. Past results don't guarantee future performance.