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NFL Week 6 · 2026 season

Week 6 NFL card: 2-3, -0.98u.

Week 6 card 2-3 -0.98u flat 1u
2026 season 15-11 +3.60u · 26 graded

Every play posted before kickoff, graded at the line we posted. The Week 7 card posts Wednesday at 8 AM ET.

Today’s board

Mon, Oct 19 · every record

Week 6 card, graded

Posts Wednesday 8 AM ET · NFL hub

Pick of the Week · locked after we post

Philadelphia Eagles

Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles · Sun, Oct 18 | 1:00 PM ET

Posted line-115
BookDraftKings
Model win %62.4%
Edge+8.9%

Philadelphia Eagles over Carolina Panthers: 42-point pregame rating gap, Philadelphia Eagles at home. Model 62.4% at -115; edge 8.9%.

L -1.00u · Philadelphia Eagles 14–25 final

Rest of the card

4 more plays on the official card

Every play on this card is graded and open below, in start-time order.

Card play Denver Broncos Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos · Thu, Oct 15 | 8:15 PM ET
+120 W 17–14 +1.20u
Card play Jacksonville Jaguars Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars · Sun, Oct 18 | 9:30 AM ET
-148 L 31–34 -1.00u
Card play New York Giants New Orleans Saints at New York Giants · Sun, Oct 18 | 1:00 PM ET
-102 L 27–34 -1.00u
Card play Green Bay Packers Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 18 | 8:20 PM ET
-122 W 23–13 +0.82u

How the NFL card is doing

NFL full card · 2026 season

Every play on the weekly card

26 graded picks; flat 1u per play

W-L-P 15-11-0
Win rate 57.7%
Units +3.60u (26 picks)
Streak L2
ROI +13.9%

Graded at the moneyline we first posted, flat 1u. Pushes return 0.00u. Nothing gets deleted.

Pick of the Week: 52%+ model probability and a 3% to 10% edge.

See full graded history →

Free Pick of the Week · 2026 season

Just the free weekly pick

6 graded picks; flat 1u per play

W-L-P 3-3-0
Win rate 50.0%
Units -0.75u (6 picks)
Streak L1
ROI -12.5%

The one public NFL play each week, graded at the line we posted.

Baseball: the free MLB Pick of the Day keeps running through the World Series. MLB hub · MLB record →

NFL betting guides

NFL Teams Off a Bye: Is the Rest Edge Already in the Line?

Do NFL teams coming off a bye win more, and does the moneyline already price it? 2015-2025 results against closing lines, plus the 2026 bye schedule.

NFL Moneyline vs Spread: What 3,000 Games Say About Which Bet to Make

When should you bet the NFL moneyline instead of the spread? Straight-up win rates by spread size, how often favorites win but don't cover, and why 3 and 7 matter, from 2015-2025 games.

Why NFL Moneylines Change Before Kickoff

Why NFL moneyline odds move during the week, what injuries and betting action change, and how to compare a posted line with the current line.

NFL Moneyline Betting: How a Money Line Bet Works

What a money line bet is in the NFL — who wins the game at a posted price. Implied probability, edge, flat 1u, and our free Pick of the Week.

NFL Picks This Week: How to Use the Free Pick of the Week

Looking for NFL picks this week? How to use our free Pick of the Week, what to do when there is no pick, and how to check the public NFL record.

Free NFL Picks: How Our Weekly Card Works

How Daily Picks Free handles free NFL picks: one Pick of the Week, posted moneyline, flat 1u, and a public NFL record. No deleted losses.

All NFL guides →

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How the NFL card works

One official card per week, Thursday through Monday, posted Wednesday at 8 AM ET and never edited after. Up to five moneyline plays, one of them the free Pick of the Week.

The model

Team ratings built from every result back to 2015, with home field and a preseason pull toward average. It was tested on a full season it never trained on before it could post a pick. More in how an NFL betting model works.

The free pick

It needs 52%+ model win probability and a 3% to 10% edge over the posted moneyline. Some weeks nothing clears that bar, and then there is no free pick.

The record

Every play grades W/L/P at the line we first posted, flat 1u (why). The other card sides stay locked until each game is graded, then open up. Nothing gets deleted.

More reads: moneyline vs spread · teams off a bye · why lines move · all posts.

Bet responsibly. For informational use only. Past results don't guarantee future performance.