Coming for the 2026 season
Free NFL picks, same honest card.
Model edge vs the price. Flat 1u. A public record that keeps the losses. Football launches here. Baseball is live today.
- Straight bets only Win probability, the line we graded against, and the edge. No parlays dressed up as analysis.
- Flat 1u tracking Same stake every play so the record is easy to follow. No “I bet bigger on the winners.”
- Nothing deleted When the NFL card is live, wins and losses stay posted. Same rule we already use for MLB.
Before Week 1
Guides worth reading first
Early season is loud. These keep the process boring.
Common NFL Week 1 betting mistakes: overreacting to tiny samples, last year's records, and camp hype. How a model stays grounded early.
Home field advantage in NFL betting is real but smaller than the crowd makes it feel. Price the bump against the line, not the noise.
How an NFL betting model turns win probability and market price into edge, without hype, hidden records, or oversized claims.
Flat unit betting in the NFL means the same stake every play. Same bankroll math as baseball: clear records, no sizing off hype or streaks.
Get the NFL launch note
We’ll email you when the football card goes live. Same list as the free MLB updates. No spam.