MLB Picks · 2026-05-12

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3W 2L 5 graded picks

Pick of the Day · 2026-05-12

Detroit Tigers @ New York Mets

Detroit Tigers

Line: +128 Edge: +12.2% Slight edge 2-10 L

Detroit Tigers (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over New York Mets. Win probability: 56%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Line +128 → edge +12.2% vs implied. Calibrated vs 217 graded results.

PICK #2 Boston Red Sox Philadelphia Phillies @ Boston Red Sox

+124 +8.2% Slight edge L

Boston Red Sox (home) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Philadelphia Phillies. Win probability: 53%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Line +124 → edge +8.2% vs implied. Calibrated vs 217 graded results.

PICK #3 St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals @ Athletics

+126 +7.5% Slight edge W

St. Louis Cardinals (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Athletics. Win probability: 52%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Line +126 → edge +7.5% vs implied. Calibrated vs 217 graded results.

PICK #4 Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays

-126 +5.7% Slight edge W

Tampa Bay Rays (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Toronto Blue Jays. Win probability: 61%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Line -126 → edge +5.7% vs implied. Calibrated vs 217 graded results.

PICK #5 New York Yankees New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles

-164 +4.1% Slight edge W

New York Yankees (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Baltimore Orioles. Win probability: 66%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Line -164 → edge +4.1% vs implied. Calibrated vs 217 graded results.

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