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MLB Picks · 2026-05-16

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Pick of the Day · 2026-05-16
Philadelphia Phillies @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
Line: +148 Edge: +19.2% Slight edge

Pittsburgh Pirates (home) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Philadelphia Phillies. Win probability: 60%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Line +148 → edge +19.2% vs implied. Calibrated vs 232 graded results.

PICK #2 Atlanta Braves Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves
-142 +9.8% Slight edge

Atlanta Braves (home) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Boston Red Sox. Win probability: 69%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Line -142 → edge +9.8% vs implied. Calibrated vs 232 graded results.

MLB & baseball on Kalshi: Open Kalshi (referral)
PICK #3 Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers @ Los Angeles Angels
-136 +9.4% Slight edge

Los Angeles Dodgers (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Los Angeles Angels. Win probability: 67%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Line -136 → edge +9.4% vs implied. Calibrated vs 232 graded results.

MLB & baseball on Kalshi: Open Kalshi (referral)
PICK #4 San Diego Padres San Diego Padres @ Seattle Mariners
+140 +9.0% Slight edge

San Diego Padres (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Seattle Mariners. Win probability: 51%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Line +140 → edge +9.0% vs implied. Calibrated vs 232 graded results.

MLB & baseball on Kalshi: Open Kalshi (referral)
PICK #5 New York Yankees New York Yankees @ New York Mets
-132 +7.9% Slight edge

New York Yankees (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over New York Mets. Win probability: 65%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Line -132 → edge +7.9% vs implied. Calibrated vs 232 graded results.

MLB & baseball on Kalshi: Open Kalshi (referral)
MLB & baseball on Kalshi: Open Kalshi (referral)

How to read the card: edge · flat units · variance · more.

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