MLB Picks · 2026-05-21

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3W 2L 5 graded picks

Pick of the Day · 2026-05-21

Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers

Cleveland Guardians

Line: +102 Edge: +9.2% Slight edge 3-1 W

Cleveland Guardians (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Detroit Tigers. Win probability: 59%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Line +102 → edge +9.2% vs implied. Calibrated vs 280 graded results.

PICK #2 Athletics Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels

-108 +8.9% Slight edge W

Athletics (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Los Angeles Angels. Win probability: 61%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Line -108 → edge +8.9% vs implied. Calibrated vs 280 graded results.

PICK #3 Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins

-136 +8.6% Slight edge W

Atlanta Braves (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Miami Marlins. Win probability: 66%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Line -136 → edge +8.6% vs implied. Calibrated vs 280 graded results.

PICK #4 St. Louis Cardinals Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals

+114 +4.6% Slight edge L

St. Louis Cardinals (home) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Pittsburgh Pirates. Win probability: 51%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Line +114 → edge +4.6% vs implied. Calibrated vs 280 graded results.

PICK #5 Washington Nationals New York Mets @ Washington Nationals

-104 +1.8% Slight edge L

Washington Nationals (home) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over New York Mets. Win probability: 53%. Early-season: win % held closer to a toss-up until samples grow. Line -104 → edge +1.8% vs implied. Calibrated vs 280 graded results.

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