MLB Picks · 2026-04-05

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3W 2L 5 graded picks

Pick of the Day · 2026-04-05

Atlanta Braves @ Arizona Diamondbacks

Atlanta Braves

Line: -104 Edge: +28.3% Moderate lean 5-6 L

Atlanta Braves (away) - season-to-date numbers show a moderate lean over Arizona Diamondbacks. Win probability: 79%. Line: -104. Model fair value: 79%. Edge: +28.3%. Calibrated vs 280 graded results.

PICK #2 New York Mets New York Mets @ San Francisco Giants

+102 +25.2% Moderate lean W

New York Mets (away) - season-to-date numbers show a moderate lean over San Francisco Giants. Win probability: 75%. Line: +102. Model fair value: 75%. Edge: +25.2%. Calibrated vs 280 graded results.

PICK #3 Houston Astros Houston Astros @ Athletics

-118 +21.7% Moderate lean L

Houston Astros (away) - season-to-date numbers show a moderate lean over Athletics. Win probability: 76%. Line: -118. Model fair value: 76%. Edge: +21.7%. Calibrated vs 280 graded results.

PICK #4 Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers @ Kansas City Royals

+108 +21.7% Slight edge W

Milwaukee Brewers (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Kansas City Royals. Win probability: 70%. Line: +108. Model fair value: 70%. Edge: +21.7%. Calibrated vs 280 graded results.

PICK #5 Pittsburgh Pirates Baltimore Orioles @ Pittsburgh Pirates

-122 +10.6% Slight edge W

Pittsburgh Pirates (home) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Baltimore Orioles. Win probability: 66%. Line: -122. Model fair value: 66%. Edge: +10.6%. Calibrated vs 280 graded results.

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