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MLB picks for Sunday, April 5, 2026

The Daily Picks Free model card. Graded at the posted line, flat 1u. Today’s MLB card · MLB record

3W 2L 5 graded picks

PICK OF THE DAY Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves @ Arizona Diamondbacks

-104 Moderate lean L

Atlanta Braves (away) - season-to-date numbers show a moderate lean over Arizona Diamondbacks. Line: -104. Model fair value: 79%. Edge: +28.3%. Calibrated vs 672 graded results.

PICK #2 New York Mets New York Mets @ San Francisco Giants

+102 Moderate lean W

New York Mets (away) - season-to-date numbers show a moderate lean over San Francisco Giants. Line: +102. Model fair value: 75%. Edge: +25.2%. Calibrated vs 672 graded results.

PICK #3 Houston Astros Houston Astros @ Athletics

-118 Moderate lean L

Houston Astros (away) - season-to-date numbers show a moderate lean over Athletics. Line: -118. Model fair value: 76%. Edge: +21.7%. Calibrated vs 672 graded results.

PICK #4 Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers @ Kansas City Royals

+108 Slight edge W

Milwaukee Brewers (away) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Kansas City Royals. Line: +108. Model fair value: 70%. Edge: +21.7%. Calibrated vs 672 graded results.

PICK #5 Pittsburgh Pirates Baltimore Orioles @ Pittsburgh Pirates

-122 Slight edge W

Pittsburgh Pirates (home) - season-to-date numbers show a slight lean over Baltimore Orioles. Line: -122. Model fair value: 66%. Edge: +10.6%. Calibrated vs 672 graded results.

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