MLB · Tue, Sep 29
Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros · flat 1u, moneyline. One free pick a day, only when it clears the bar.
Pick of the Day · the number we graded
Chicago White Sox (away): slight lean over Houston Astros on season form. Win probability: 53%. Line +105 → edge +3.8% vs implied. Calibrated vs 662 graded results.
Today’s full card page · the rest of the card stays hidden until graded.
Free Pick of the Day · all time
136 graded picks; flat 1u per play
The one public pick per day, graded at the line we posted.
Rules since Jul 26, 2026: free pick needs 52%+ win probability and 3 to 10% edge. Among those we take the highest model win probability, not the biggest edge — on our own graded history, the biggest edges were the worst plays.
See full graded history →Full model card · all time
662 graded picks; flat 1u per play
The whole card, including sides held back until graded.
| Date | Pick | Opponent | Line | Score | Units | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27 | New York Yankees | Baltimore Orioles | -136 | -- | -- | – |
| Sat, Sep 26 | Washington Nationals | New York Mets | +114 | 1–7 | -1.00u | L |
| Fri, Sep 25 | Washington Nationals | New York Mets | +114 | 7–6 | +1.14u | W |
| Thu, Sep 24 | Milwaukee Brewers | Philadelphia Phillies | +100 | 5–1 | +1.00u | W |
| Wed, Sep 23 | Chicago White Sox | Kansas City Royals | -116 | 4–5 | -1.00u | L |
| Tue, Sep 22 | Los Angeles Dodgers | San Diego Padres | -120 | 7–0 | +0.83u | W |
| Sun, Sep 20 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Kansas City Royals | +102 | 4–3 | +1.02u | W |
| Sat, Sep 19 | Chicago Cubs | Cincinnati Reds | -138 | 5–2 | +0.72u | W |
| Fri, Sep 18 | Chicago Cubs | Cincinnati Reds | -126 | 4–6 | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Sep 17 | Philadelphia Phillies | New York Mets | +116 | 3–0 | +1.16u | W |
How the 2026 MLB postseason changes betting, and how our free Pick of the Day handles it. Fewer games, sharper prices, aces every night, and no forced plays.
What free MLB picks should include, how to spot tip-sheet grift, and how Daily Picks Free posts one public Pick of the Day with flat 1u tracking.
Exact rules for our free MLB Pick of the Day: 52%+ win probability, 3 to 10% edge, highest edge among qualifiers, flat 1u grading. No mystery edits.
Free MLB picks for today: how to read our Pick of the Day, check the posted line and edge, bet flat 1u, and verify results on the public record.
We broke every public and internal pick into edge buckets. The results explain why we changed the public Pick of the Day rules.
After reviewing 368 graded picks, we tightened the public Pick of the Day rules. Here's exactly why and what it means for the free card.
All MLB guides → · Betting basics
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